JAPAN’S closely watched factory output rose modestly in February with unemployment staying at record-low levels, official data showed Friday, underscoring the patchy recovery of the world’s third-largest economy.

Factory output for February rose 1.4 percent month on month after a 3.4-percent dip in January, Japan’s trade and industry ministry said Friday.

The reading compares with market expectations of a 1-percent rise.

“The recovery in output is not strong, reflecting weak exports,” said Taro Saito, senior economist at NLI Research Institute.

Industrial production was particularly weak in electronic parts and devices, “because these products are for exports to China” and have been affected by a Chinese economic slowdown, he added.

The ministry said Japan’s factory output is “pausing” on the whole, but forecast a rise in March and April.

But Saito said the pace of any rise “is likely to still be weak and can even be interpreted as flat, so we will be carefully watching more economic indicators ahead” to see whether the economy is on the verge of a downturn.

Meanwhile, the country’s jobless rate fell to 2.3 percent from 2.5 percent the previous month, its lowest level since 1993, the internal affairs ministry said, as the country’s job market remains tight against the backdrop of an aging population.

The jobs-to-applicants ratio is 1.63, with 163 job offers going for every 100 job hunters, separate data from the labor ministry said.

The latest data came after Japan’s economy grew 0.5 percent quarter on quarter in the last quarter of 2018, suggesting a mild turnaround after eight consecutive quarters of growth ended in the January-March period last year.

But the Cabinet office has recently revised down its judgement on the economy, as a leading business confidence index declined in January for the third straight month.

It assessed the latest index as “signalling a possible turning point” towards a downturn, the Cabinet office has said.

Analysts have also warned that U.S.-led trade wars could be a major risk factor for an economy still struggling to win a long battle against deflation.

(SD-Agencies)