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在线翻译:
szdaily -> Yes Teens -> 
Planet could be ‘unrecognizable’ by 2050, experts say
    2011-02-23  08:53    Shenzhen Daily

    A growing, more affluent population competing for ever scarcer resources could make for an “unrecognizable*” world by 2050, researchers warned at a major U.S. science conference Sunday.

    The United Nations has predicted the global population will reach 7 billion this year, and climb to 9 billion by 2050, “with almost all of the growth taking place in poor countries, particularly Africa and South Asia,” said John Bongaarts of the non-profit Population Council.

    To feed all those mouths, “we will need to produce as much food in the next 40 years as we have in the last 8,000,” said Jason Clay of the World Wildlife Fund at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

    “By 2050 we will not have a planet left that is recognizable” if the trends continue, Clay said.

    The population will worsen problems, such as resource depletion*, said John Casterline, director of the Initiative in Population Research at Ohio State University.

    But incomes are also expected to rise over the next 40 years — tripling* globally and quintupling* in developing nations — and add more strain to global food supplies.

    People tend to move up the food chain as their incomes rise, consuming* more meat than they might have when they made less money, the experts said.

    It takes around 7.5 kilograms of grain to produce 1 kilo of meat, and around three to four kilos of grain to produce a kilo of cheese or eggs, experts said.

    “More people, more money, more consumption, but the same planet,” Clay said, urging scientists and governments to start making changes to how food is produced.

    Population experts, meanwhile, called for more funding for family planning* programs to help control the growth in the number of humans, especially in developing nations.

    “For 20 years, there’s been very little investment in family planning, but there’s a return of interest now, partly because of the environmental factors like global warming and food prices,” said Bongaarts.

    “We want to minimize population growth, and the only viable way to do that is through more effective family planning,” said Casterline.(SD-Agencies)

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