A “HUGE” trade deficit with China is reportedly behind the U.S. administration’s plan to slap tariffs on up to US$60 billion of Chinese goods and restrict Chinese investment. But data sometimes lies, and could distort the bigger picture.

Twisted data

What the United States claims to be a “record trade deficit” with China is an inflated figure.

According to U.S. Census Bureau data, the trade deficit with China ran to a record US$375 billion last year, while China’s customs data showed the country’s surplus with the United States stood at 1.87 trillion yuan (US$298 billion).

The gap resulted mainly from differences in statistical approaches, such as whether or not to include transit trade in the calculations, according to Zhang Monan, researcher with China Center for International Economic Exchanges.

Such discrepancies have inflated the U.S. calculation of its trade deficit with China by about 20 percent every year, according to Minister of Commerce Zhong Shan.

The United States is home to many multinational companies that have a global supply chain, but the current total value statistical method has distorted reality, analysts said.

An iPhone, for example, uses components made in different countries around the world and is only assembled and manufactured in China, but the calculation of trade statistics attributed most of the value to China.

“In this case, China is taking the blame for others,” Zhang said.

She added that most of the profits actually went to U.S. companies, but the value of the products was reflected in Chinese exports, resulting in inaccurate statistics.

What’s more, when talking about the deficit with China, the United States always plays down the trade of services, according to Tu Xinquan, professor at the University of International Business and Economics.

Data from China’s Ministry of Commerce showed that the country has a huge service trade deficit with the United States, and the gap has been widening. From 2006 to 2016, China’s service trade deficit with the United States increased more than 30 times. The figure reached US$255.4 billion last year, official data showed.

Made-in-USA deficit

Statistical differences aside, the fact that the United States is not only running a trade deficit with China but many other countries means the root cause of the imbalance is the U.S. economic structure, which is characterized by low savings and high consumption.

In recent decades, U.S. businesses have transferred their manufacturing bases to countries with cheap labor and low costs, which helped drive up their profits and benefited consumers.

In a world whose prosperity has been built on the free flow of trade and investment, price-sensitive consumers have largely decided the direction of trade, either for exports or imports.

“China has been a major market where the United States enjoyed its fastest export growth, and an important reason for the trade imbalance is the fact that many U.S. goods are less competitive in the Chinese market,” said Long Guoqiang, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council.

Solutions to the U.S.-China trade deficit do not come from cutting exports from China, but from U.S. enterprises making their products more competitive, he said.

Joe Kaeser, CEO of Siemens AG, held the same view. “I believe people should not confuse the lack of competitiveness with unfair trade. If companies lack competitiveness, they need to invest in innovation and people development in order to catch up,” he told reporters at the China Development Forum in Beijing.

As China has repeatedly stressed, the trade imbalance between the two countries is mainly a result of different economic structures, industrial competitiveness, and international division of labor, and China has never sought a trade surplus as the flow of trade is determined by the market.

Another factor that has often been overlooked is that U.S. control of high-tech exports to China contributed a lot to its trade deficit with China, Commerce Minister Zhong Shan said earlier in March, quoting a U.S. research report that estimated a 35-percent fall in the trade deficit with China if the United States relaxed export restrictions.

Unwavering in opening up

When handling economic ties with other countries, a trade surplus is not what China seeks. Faced with setbacks in economic globalization and free trade, China has continued to be unwavering in opening up its economy.

Take the opening up of the service sector, for example. Even though China holds a big service trade deficit with the United States, it has been taking big steps to further open the sector, and more such measures are in the wings.

Vice Minister of Commerce Wang Shouwen said Sunday that China will widen market access in finance, telecom, heath care, education, and elderly care for foreign investors, and will ease restrictions on foreign holdings in financial businesses including banks, brokerages and funds.

“We will unveil timetables and roadmaps to open up sectors including finance, new energy vehicles, and gas stations,” Wang said while addressing the China Development Forum in Beijing.

The commitment to opening up was in contrast with the country’s deficit of US$255.4 billion in service trade last year. “We have as always supported free, fair trade,” Wang said.

China has opened 120 industries related to service trade for foreign investors, surpassing the goal of 100 industries set when China joined the World Trade Organization nearly two decades ago.

In free trade zones, the government has fully liberalized many sectors closely watched by foreign investors, including credit ratings, accounting, e-commerce, power batteries, and railway traffic equipment, Wang said.

China has also cut red tape in foreign investment by simplifying or scrapping many approval procedures, and more favorable policies can be expected, according to the vice minister.

(Xinhua)