
THE suspension of Ant Group’s massive share offering and a possible Joe Biden U.S. presidency have become fresh tailwinds for China’s stock market, as investors rush to snap up a piece of an economy recovering rapidly from the coronavirus pandemic. Regulators torpedoed Ant’s US$37 billion initial public offering, set to be the world’s largest stock market listing, and trillions of dollars locked up by the IPO return to the market. Investors searching for a place to park that cash have lifted Chinese e-commerce firms such as Meituan and JD.com to record highs last week. Even after losses Friday, the Hang Seng TECH index was up 8.2 percent last week, its biggest weekly gain since early July. Sean Taylor, chief investment officer in Asia for German asset manager DWS, said the scramble to subscribe Ant’s IPO showed the depth of Asia’s investor pool. “It shows there is a huge, huge demand for buying equities when they think they’ve got upside. I expect some of that money goes back into markets,” he said. “The IPO pipeline looks pretty healthy and the equity culture is growing…and that’s a big thing.” The fresh enthusiasm for Chinese shares isn’t confined to Hong Kong. Foreign investors bought a net 21.42 billion yuan (US$3.24 billion) in Shanghai and Shenzhen-listed A shares in the first five trading days of November, Hong Kong stock exchange data showed. Investors were seen betting on resurgent domestic demand and government policies through companies such as liquor maker Kweichow Moutai Co. and LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. These investors were net sellers in August and September and made only tiny purchases in October through the Stock Connect program, which gives offshore investors access to shares of firms traded on the Chinese mainland. Early indications that Democratic candidate Joe Biden could unseat incumbent Donald Trump have also pushed the yuan and stocks up. Biden is expected to take a less confrontational approach to Sino-U.S. relations if elected, removing a drag on Chinese shares that have nonetheless outperformed their peers this year as the world’s No.2 economy recovers. “No matter who wins the election, the big trend of U.S. containment against China will not be changed,” said Zheng Zichun, an analyst with AVIC Securities. “Though Biden, if elected, could put more moderate restrictions [than Trump] on China’s tech sector, including its 5G industry, which could help the sector and the wider market for the short-term,” Zheng said. The blue-chip CSI300 index has risen more than 19 percent this year, versus a less than 9 percent gain for the S&P 500. Analysts at Morgan Stanley said the firm was staying overweight China within emerging markets as China’s corporate earnings recovery continues. An influx of new capital will be key to supporting valuations of Chinese companies, already near historic highs, as more rush to list, said Shen Yi, chief executive officer at Shanghai ShenYi Investment Co. China’s A-share market welcomed 325 new listings worth a record 542.5 billion yuan in the first 10 months of 2020, more than triple the value of new listings in the same period a year earlier, Shenwan Hongyuan Securities analysts said in a report. “The speed is…too high and there’s not enough fresh money flowing to the market,” Shen said. “Everything depends on the money flow direction for this market.” (SD-Agencies) |