THE Group of 20 (G20) leading nations say they are tantalizingly close to adding an extra US$2 trillion to the global economy and creating millions of new jobs, but Europe’s extended stagnation remains a major stumbling block.
The finance ministers and central bank chiefs gathered in the Australian city of Cairns claimed progress on fireproofing the world’s financial system and on closing tax loopholes exploited by giant multinationals.
They also dealt with the thorny problem of whether to invite Russian President Vladimir Putin to the G20 leaders’ summit in November given events in Ukraine, with the consensus being to maintain diplomatic pressure but leave the door open for his attendance.
“We are determined to lift growth, and countries are willing to use all our macroeconomic levers — monetary, fiscal and structural policies — to meet this challenge,” said Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey, who hosted the event.
Almost 1,000 measures had been proposed that would boost global growth by 1.8 percent by 2018, nearing the ambitious goal of 2 percentage points adopted back in February.
A common concern was the risk of Europe’s economic malaise pulling others down. U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew cited “philosophical” differences with some of his counterparts in Europe, especially on the need for near-term stimulus.
“The concern that I have is that if the efforts to boost demand are deferred for too long, there’s a risk that the headwinds get stronger and what Europe needs is some more tailwinds in the economy,” said Lew.
That was not an argument that found favor with German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble who emphasized the need for structural reforms and strict budget controls.
The proposals to lift global growth will now go for formal approval at the summit of G20 leaders in Brisbane in November.
Chief among them was a global initiative aimed at increasing private investment in infrastructure, a particular hobby horse of the Australians who head the G20 this year.
While Europe’s failings were front and center, there was surprisingly little said about China’s slowdown, at least publicly. That struck some as odd given the Asian giant was just behind the United States in the size of its economy.
“Our basic point on the aspirational growth target is that with China slowing down in a structural sense... it will be exceedingly difficult to hit that [2 percent] number, given China’s massive arithmetic impact,” said Huw McKay, a senior international economist at Westpac.
China’s finance chief, Lou Jiwei, noted that stimulus measures also brought problems such as excess capacity, environmental pollution and growing local government debt, just the latest sign that any policy easing there would be limited.(SD-Agencies)
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